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Inside the 12-hour Facebook blitz that framed Duterte's ICC arrest as 'kidnapping'

Inside the 12-hour Facebook blitz that framed Duterte's ICC arrest as 'kidnapping'

  • 18.03.2025 02:47
  • philstar.com
  • Keywords: Disinformation

A coordinated disinformation campaign on Facebook framed Duterte's ICC arrest as 'kidnapping,' with over 200 accounts spreading identical messages within 12 hours. Legal experts refuted claims that the ICC lacked jurisdiction, emphasizing its authority over crimes committed during Philippines' membership. The effort aimed to discredit Duterte's arrest and fuel public distrust in international justice.

Meta Reports

Estimated market influence

Context

Analysis: Facebook Blitz Framing Duterte's ICC Arrest as 'Kidnapping'

Key Facts and Data

  • Coordinated Disinformation Campaign: At least 200 identical Facebook posts framed Duterte's potential arrest under the ICC as "kidnapping" and "illegal detention."
  • Timing: Most posts occurred within a 12-hour window (March 11, 9 a.m. to March 11, 11 p.m.), with some appearing as early as March 9.
  • Engagement:
    • Bagong Pilipinas 2022: 75k followers, 114 shares, 133 reactions.
    • Batingaw Mindanao: 2.4k followers, 2,300 shares, 66 comments, 643 reactions.
  • Influence Operation: Followed patterns seen in previous Duterte-related campaigns (e.g., November 2023 survey amplification).

Market Trends

  • Surge in Disinformation: Fact-checkers noted a significant increase in false narratives following Duterte's arrest.
  • Public Discourse Polarization: The campaign poisoned public perception, stoking distrust and fear among citizens.
  • Media Credibility Impact: Viral messages attacked media outlets like Rappler, undermining trust in news organizations.

Competitive Dynamics

  • Pro-Duterte Networks: Coordinated efforts by pro-Duterte accounts and pages amplified the narrative, leveraging authentic-looking profiles and community groups.
  • Astroturfing Tactics: False claims of grassroots support ("CTTO" disclaimers) masked the coordinated nature of the campaign.

Strategic Considerations

  • Legal Risks: The viral text included legal inaccuracies that were refuted by experts, potentially exposing those spreading it to liability.
  • Public Trust Erosion: The campaign eroded trust in institutions, including the ICC and Philippine courts, complicating future international cooperation.
  • Political Strategy: Duterte's family and allies used emotional framing ("kidnapping") to rally support, aligning with broader populist narratives.

Long-term Effects

  • Impact on Philippines' International Relations: The narrative could strain relations with international bodies like the ICC and Interpol.
  • Domestic Political Fallout: The campaign may fuel anti-western sentiment and strengthen Duterte loyalists ahead of the 2025 elections.
  • Regulatory Risks: Potential push for stricter laws to combat disinformation, though enforcement remains challenging.

Conclusion

The Facebook blitz highlights the power of coordinated disinformation campaigns in shaping public perception. While it may not alter the legal outcome of Duterte's case, it underscores broader risks to democratic discourse, media credibility, and international relations. Businesses operating in this environment must navigate heightened polarization and trust erosion, while governments face growing pressure to regulate misinformation without stifling free expression.