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Wall Street Price Prediction: Tesla's Share Price Forecast for 2025

Wall Street Price Prediction: Tesla's Share Price Forecast for 2025

  • 18.03.2025 17:14
  • 247wallst.com
  • Keywords: AI

Tesla's stock is projected to rise in 2025, driven by EV demand and AI advancements, despite challenges like competition and regulatory changes. Analysts expect a price target of $323 per share, reflecting a 41% upside from current levels.

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Tesla

Tesla

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Analyst rating: Neutral

Tesla's stock price has dropped significantly after reaching a six-month high, despite positive analyst expectations.

Context

Analysis of Tesla's Stock Price Forecast for 2025

Overview

  • Tesla’s stock performance is influenced by its core EV business, autonomous driving initiatives, and macro-political factors.
  • Wall Street predicts a price target range of $130 to $528 per share in 2025, with a consensus target of $323.83, implying a 41.65% upside potential.

Key Drivers of Tesla’s Stock Performance

1. Core EV Business

  • EV sales have declined year-over-year.
  • Margins are decreasing from historically high pandemic levels.
  • Investors will closely monitor revenue and earnings trends.

2. Autonomous Driving (FSD), Robotics, and AI

  • Tesla’s value is tied to long-term growth in autonomous driving, energy storage, and robotics.
  • The success of initiatives like Robotaxi could drive future growth.
  • High R&D investments may impact short-term margins.

3. Macro and Political Environment

  • Tesla benefits from the Trump administration’s regulatory environment.
  • Stock surged post-Trump election but has trended lower since November 2024.
  • Competition from companies like Waymo poses challenges.

Wall Street’s Perspective

  • Analyst consensus target: $323.83, up 41.65% from current price ($227.43).
  • Despite a 62.5% stock surge in 2024, concerns about valuation persist.
  • Tesla faces challenges in Germany, France, and California.

2025 Outlook

  • Projected deliveries: 1.95 million units (Barclays) vs. 2.08 million (Bloomberg consensus).
  • Revenue growth projected from $112.091 billion in 2025 to $297.430 billion by 2030.
  • Normalized EPS growth: $2.85 in 2025 to $11.61 by 2030.

Key Data Points

  • Previous Close: $227.43
  • Market Cap: $765.56B
  • Day’s Range: $222.28 - $230.10
  • 52wk Range: $138.80 - $488.54
  • Volume: 70.48M
  • P/E Ratio: 116.10
  • Gross Margin: 7.26%
  • Dividend Yield: N/A

Market Implications

  • Tesla’s stock has fallen 52.53% since late February due to broader market sell-offs.
  • Analysts remain bullish, with a consensus “Hold” rating and significant upside potential.

Long-Term Considerations

  • Autonomous driving and AI initiatives could redefine the EV industry.
  • Regulatory changes under the Trump administration may impact future growth.

Conclusion

Tesla’s 2025 outlook is shaped by production capacity, market demand, and technological advancements. While analysts predict substantial upside potential, investors should consider conducting their own due diligence given the stock’s volatility and high valuation.