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Nvidia GTC 2025: Winners & Losers

  • 22.03.2025 15:58
  • msn.com
  • Keywords: danger, success

Nvidia’s GTC 2025 conference in San Jose was overshadowed by external factors like tariffs and China’s DeepSeek. Despite being a Wall Street favorite, Nvidia shares dropped ~3% as investors focused on broader tech challenges. Partnerships and collaborations announced during the event failed to impress, with mixed results for stakeholders and rivals.

SMCI ProductsSMCI ServicesNVDAsentiment_dissatisfiedBAHsentiment_dissatisfiedTMUSsentiment_satisfiedCSCOsentiment_satisfiedSMCIsentiment_neutralADIsentiment_dissatisfiedAVGOsentiment_dissatisfiedMCHPsentiment_dissatisfiedMUsentiment_dissatisfiedAMDsentiment_satisfiedTSMsentiment_satisfiedMRVLsentiment_satisfiedONsentiment_satisfiedQBTSsentiment_dissatisfiedRGTIsentiment_dissatisfiedIONQsentiment_dissatisfiedCOHRsentiment_satisfiedACNsentiment_dissatisfied

Estimated market influence

Nvidia

Nvidia

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Strong buy

Nvidia's stock fell despite being a favorite on Wall Street.

Booz Allen Hamilton

Booz Allen Hamilton

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

BAH stock fell ~10% this week as rival Accenture’s warning about the consequences of federal spending cuts weighed on the shares of the

T-Mobile

T-Mobile

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

T-Mobile announced a collaboration with Nvidia to develop AI-native wireless network hardware, software, and architecture for 6G.

Cisco

Cisco

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Cisco announced a collaboration with Nvidia to develop AI-native wireless network hardware, software, and architecture for 6G.

Super Micro Computer

Super Micro Computer

Neutralsentiment_neutral
Analyst rating: Buy

Super Micro Computer shares closed flat this week after rising ~6% on Wednesday following the announcement of a new optimized storage server in partnership with Nvidia.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Notable decliners included Analog Devices, Broadcom, and Microchip Technology.

Analog Devices

Analog Devices

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Notable decliners included Analog Devices, Broadcom, and Microchip Technology.

Broadcom

Broadcom

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Strong buy

Notable decliners included Analog Devices, Broadcom, and Microchip Technology.

Microchip Technology

Microchip Technology

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Notable decliners included Analog Devices, Broadcom, and Microchip Technology.

Micron Technology

Micron Technology

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Micron Technology fell ~7% after the company’s Q2 FY25 results indicated a decline in gross margins despite exceeding Street forecasts on Thursday.

Advanced Micro Devices

Advanced Micro Devices

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Advanced Micro Devices, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Marvell Technology, and ON Semiconductor closed in positive territory.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Strong buy

Advanced Micro Devices, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Marvell Technology, and ON Semiconductor closed in positive territory.

Marvell Technology

Marvell Technology

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Strong buy

Advanced Micro Devices, Taiwan SemiconductorManufacturing, Marvell Technology, and ON Semiconductor closed in positive territory.

ON Semiconductor

ON Semiconductor

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Advanced Micro Devices, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Marvell Technology, and ON Semiconductor closed in positive territory.

Quantum Computing

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Quantum computing companies were among the major losers even as Nvidia conducted its first-ever Quantum. D-Wave Quantum (), Rigetti Computing (), and IonQ () posted double-digit percentage declines while Quantum Computing () closed ~4% higher this week.

D-Wave Quantum

D-Wave Quantum

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Quantum computing companies were among the major losers even as Nvidia conducted its first-ever Quantum. D-Wave Quantum (), Rigetti Computing (), and IonQ () posted double-digit percentage declines while Quantum Computing () closed ~4% higher this week.

Rigetti Computing

Rigetti Computing

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Quantum computing companies were among the major losers even as Nvidia conducted its first-ever Quantum. D-Wave Quantum (), Rigetti Computing (), and IonQ () posted double-digit percentage declines while Quantum Computing () closed ~4% higher this week.

IonQ

IonQ

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Quantum computing companies were among the major losers even as Nvidia conducted its first-ever Quantum. D-Wave Quantum (), Rigetti Computing (), and IonQ () posted double-digit percentage declines while Quantum Computing () closed ~4% higher this week.

Coherent

Coherent

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Optical companies represented a rare pocket of outperformance after Nvidia unveiled products and partnerships with those firms at the event. Coherent () and Lumentum Holdings () closed ~6% and ~5% higher, respectively, while Fabrinet () traded flat.

Lumentum Holdings

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Optical companies represented a rare pocket of outperformance after Nvidia unveiled products and partnerships with those firms at the event. Coherent () and Lumentum Holdings () closed ~6% and ~5% higher, respectively, while Fabrinet () traded flat.

Fabrinet

Neutralsentiment_neutral
Analyst rating: N/A

Optical companies represented a rare pocket of outperformance after Nvidia unveiled products and partnerships with those firms at the event. Coherent () and Lumentum Holdings () closed ~6% and ~5% higher, respectively, while Fabrinet () traded flat.

Accenture

Accenture

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

However, BAH stock fell ~10% this week as rival Accenture’s warning about the consequences of federal spending cuts weighed on the shares of the

Context

Nvidia GTC 2025: Winners & Losers Analysis

Key Facts and Data Points:

  • Event Context:

    • Nvidia's GPU Technology Conference (GTC) 2025 in San Jose, California, ended without significant fanfare due to the Trump administration’s tariff threats and disruption from China’s DeepSeek.
  • Nvidia Performance:

    • Nvidia stock fell ~3% during the week despite being a Wall Street favorite.
    • The company had partnerships that could rally stakeholder share prices in previous years but failed to impress investors this time.

Collaborations and Partnerships:

  • Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH):

    • Announced collaboration with T-Mobile () and Cisco () to develop AI-native wireless network hardware, software, and architecture for 6G.
    • BAH stock fell ~10% due to concerns about federal spending cuts raised by rival Accenture ().
  • Super Micro Computer (SMCI):

    • Shares closed flat after rising ~6% on Wednesday following a partnership with Nvidia to announce a new optimized storage server.

Competitor Performance:

  • Rivals Underperformance:

    • Notable decliners included Analog Devices (), Broadcom (), and Microchip Technology ().
  • Semiconductor Sector:

    • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), Marvell Technology (), and ON Semiconductor () closed in positive territory, showing resilience despite broader sector challenges.

Quantum Computing Impact:

  • Quantum Computing Companies:
    • D-Wave Quantum (), Rigetti Computing (), and IonQ () saw double-digit percentage declines.
    • Nvidia conducted its first-ever Quantum event, but quantum computing companies overall underperformed.

Optical Companies Outperformance:

  • Optical Companies:
    • Coherent () and Lumentum Holdings () closed ~6% and ~5% higher, respectively, following Nvidia’s partnerships at the event.
    • Fabrinet () traded flat despite being part of the optical sector.

Market Trends and Implications:

  • Investor Sentiment:

    • Investors showed limited enthusiasm for Nvidia’s announcements, leading to a ~3% drop in its stock.
  • Regulatory and Geopolitical Risks:

    • Tariff threats from the Trump administration and disruptions caused by China’s DeepSeek overshadowed the event, impacting investor confidence.

Strategic Considerations:

  • Focus Areas for Nvidia:

    • The event highlighted potential opportunities in AI-native wireless networks (6G) and optical computing partnerships, despite quantum computing underperformance.
  • Competitive Landscape:

    • Rival collaborations and warnings about federal spending cuts created headwinds for companies like BAH and impacted semiconductor sector performance.

Long-Term Effects:

  • Sector Resilience:

    • Positive closes by AMD, TSMC, Marvell, and ON Semiconductor suggest potential long-term resilience in the semiconductor sector despite broader market challenges.
  • Quantum Computing Uncertainty:

    • The underperformance of quantum computing companies raises questions about investor interest and Nvidia’s focus on this area moving forward.