Trump tariffs live updates: No steel, aluminum tariff exemptions coming, Trump says

Trump tariffs live updates: No steel, aluminum tariff exemptions coming, Trump says

  • 16.03.2025 02:31
  • uk.finance.yahoo.com
  • Keywords: danger, success

US President Trump has imposed 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, with no exemptions planned. This move has sparked retaliatory measures from trading partners, including China and the EU, potentially harming global trade relations and economic growth.

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Estimated market influence

Kia America

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Kia America is planning to move some production stateside even before Trump's tariffs tirade started. They have invested billions in American manufacturing and supply chain.

Ferrari

Ferrari

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Ferrari CEO said they are ready with countermeasures, but didn't specify the exact impact on their business operations.

Porsche

Porsche

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Neutral

Porsche expects prices to increase if tariffs go into effect, which would directly affect consumer costs and potentially reduce demand.

BMW

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

BMW is absorbing the costs initially but may reassess their pricing strategy if tariffs remain longer.

Volkswagen

Volkswagen

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Volkswagen is not realistically planning to shift production to the US in the short term and is monitoring the situation, which could lead to long-term changes in their manufacturing strategy.

Distilled Spirits Council

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

The council represents US bourbon makers who are urging the Trump administration to avoid tariffs that would harm their industry and jobs.

Wine and Spirits Wholesalers of America (WSWA)

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

This organization warned that tariffs on wine and spirits would raise prices for consumers and hurt businesses, potentially leading to job losses in the hospitality sector.

Context

Analysis of Trump Tariffs: Business Insights and Market Implications

Key Facts and Data Points

  • Steel and Aluminum Tariffs:

    • Effective March 12, 2025.
    • 25% tariffs applied to all countries with no exemptions.
  • China's Response:

    • Imposed up to 15% tariffs on US farm goods (e.g., chicken, pork) starting March 10, 2025.
  • OECD Economic Forecast:

    • US economic growth projected at 2.2% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026.
    • Inflation expected to rise due to trade tensions.
  • EU Retaliatory Tariffs:

    • EU plans 50% tariffs on American whiskey starting April 1, 2025.
    • Trump threatened 200% tariffs on EU wines and spirits if the bloc does not remove whiskey duties.
  • Wine Industry Impact:

    • Imports account for 35% of US alcohol market revenue.
    • Tariffs could raise prices and reduce demand, affecting restaurants and retailers.

Market Trends and Business Implications

  • Global Trade Dynamics:

    • Escalating trade war between the US and major trading partners (China, EU).
    • Reciprocal tariffs leading to economic uncertainty and supply chain disruptions.
  • Industry-Specific Impact:

    • Automotive Industry: European luxury brands like BMW, Ferrari, and Porsche are adjusting strategies: price increases, production shifts, or cost absorption.
    • Beverage Industry: US bourbon distillers face retaliatory tariffs, risking jobs and exports.

Competitive Dynamics

  • Strategic Responses:
    • Companies like Kia are localizing production in the US to mitigate tariff risks (e.g., EV production in Georgia).
    • European automakers are considering price hikes or shifting production strategies due to potential US tariffs.

Economic Forecasts and Long-Term Effects

  • Economic Slowdown:

    • OECD warns of slower growth and higher inflation in the US, Canada, and Mexico.
    • Extended trade war could weaken global economic prospects.
  • Consumer Impact:

    • Higher prices for goods like wines, spirits, and vehicles due to tariffs.
    • Potential job losses in affected industries (e.g., wine sales, distilling).

Regulatory and Political Considerations

  • Trade Policy Shifts:
    • Trump administration's focus on reducing trade deficits through tariffs.
    • Risk of prolonged trade disputes affecting diplomatic relations and market stability.

This analysis highlights the far-reaching effects of Trump's tariff policies, emphasizing the need for businesses to adapt strategically in a shifting global trade landscape.