Why Trump’s antitrust agenda could spell trouble for Big Tech

Why Trump’s antitrust agenda could spell trouble for Big Tech

  • 20.03.2025 10:16
  • thehill.com
  • Keywords: Antitrust Enforcement, Big Tech

The Trump administration is pursuing aggressive antitrust enforcement against Big Tech, despite ties to Silicon Valley. Key actions include DOJ efforts to break up Google and FTC probes into tech firms' content policies, signaling ongoing scrutiny of major players.

Meta NewsMETAsentiment_dissatisfiedHPE/PCsentiment_dissatisfiedJNPRsentiment_dissatisfiedGOOGLsentiment_dissatisfiedAAPLsentiment_dissatisfiedAMZNsentiment_dissatisfiedMETAsentiment_dissatisfiedTSLAsentiment_satisfiedGOOGLsentiment_dissatisfied

Estimated market influence

Google

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

DOJ suing Google for antitrust violations; potential breakup of Google.

Meta

Meta

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Strong buy

Trump's FTC suing Meta for antitrust violations.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating:

DOJ sued to block merger with Juniper Networks.

Juniper Networks

Juniper Networks

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Neutral

DOJ sued to block merger with Hewlett Packard Enterprise.

Alphabet

Alphabet

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

DOJ suing Alphabet (Google) for antitrust violations; potential breakup of Google.

Apple

Apple

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Biden administration sued Apple for antitrust violations.

Amazon

Amazon

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Strong buy

Biden administration sued Amazon for antitrust violations.

Meta

Meta

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Strong buy

Trump's FTC suing Meta for antitrust violations.

SpaceX

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: N/A

Elon Musk leading Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

Tesla

Tesla

Positivesentiment_satisfied
Analyst rating: Neutral

Elon Musk leading Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

Alphabet

Alphabet

Negativesentiment_dissatisfied
Analyst rating: Buy

Biden administration sued Alphabet for antitrust violations.

Context

Analysis of Trump’s Antitrust Agenda and Market Implications

  • DOJ's Commitment to Google Breakup: The Department of Justice (DOJ) remains committed to the structural breakup of Google, despite President Trump's earlier concerns. This includes requiring Google to divest from its Chrome browser, a move initiated during Trump's first term.

  • FTC Continuity with Biden-era Policies: The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has signaled continuity with Biden-era antitrust policies, maintaining the 2023 merger guidelines. FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson emphasized the importance of stability in enforcement.

  • Shift in Mergers and Acquisitions Approach: While there are signals that the FTC may be less hostile to mergers under Trump, the DOJ's recent challenge to the Hewlett Packard Enterprise-Juniper Networks merger indicates ongoing scrutiny of tech industry consolidations.

  • Focus on Content Moderation and Competition: The FTC is probing large tech firms' content policies and user bans, suggesting potential antitrust actions against alleged "illegal censorship." This aligns with a broader focus on competition in content moderation.

  • Tech Industry's Dilemma: Despite Trump's apparent alignment with Silicon Valley—evidenced by tech leaders' roles in his administration and financial support—the administration continues aggressive antitrust enforcement against Big Tech firms like Google, Meta, Amazon, and Apple.

  • Potential Regulatory Changes: The removal of two Democratic FTC commissioners has sparked backlash, raising questions about the direction of antitrust enforcement under Trump. Observers note a possible continuation of progressive antitrust policies but remain cautious about future actions.

  • Long-term Market Implications: The sustained antitrust focus could reshape the tech industry, potentially leading to market fragmentation, reduced monopolistic practices, and increased competition. This may also influence innovation and investment strategies in sectors like AI and content moderation.

  • Competitive Dynamics: Big Tech faces heightened regulatory scrutiny, which could impact their business models, mergers, and market dominance. Smaller competitors and startups may benefit from a more competitive landscape.

  • Regulatory Uncertainty: The continuity of antitrust enforcement across administrations creates uncertainty for businesses, particularly in tech, as they navigate evolving regulatory expectations and potential legal challenges.